New poll shows Trump’s approval rating

President Donald Trump has seen a modest but notable rise in his approval rating, according to the latest Daily Mail poll. The increase comes as economic pressures on American families show signs of easing, providing the president with a welcome lift in public sentiment amid ongoing concerns over affordability and living costs.

Between November 21 and December 4, Trump’s approval rating jumped from 45 percent to 47 percent, according to the Daily Mail/J.L. Partners survey. While this two-point increase may seem modest, it marks a significant shift in a climate where voter approval can fluctuate based on economic conditions and policy developments.

The survey, which included 1,000 registered voters participating in online polls, carries a margin of error of 3.1 percent. While Trump’s disapproval remains elevated at 53 percent, the uptick indicates that economic optimism and tangible relief for families can influence public perception, even temporarily.


Economic Indicators Driving the Approval Boost

Experts attribute Trump’s rise in approval to several positive economic developments over the past month. Notably, consumer spending during the Thanksgiving holiday weekend broke records, highlighting strong confidence among shoppers despite lingering cost-of-living concerns.

According to Adobe Analytics, Americans spent a total of $44.2 billion online during Black Friday and Cyber Monday alone. These figures underscore the willingness of consumers to spend when they feel economic pressures are manageable. Retail activity during this period is often viewed as a reflection of broader economic confidence and directly impacts public opinion about the administration’s handling of the economy.

In addition, the national average for gasoline prices recently fell below $3 per gallon, the first time since 2021. Lower energy costs relieve household budgets, allowing families to redirect spending to other essentials or discretionary purchases. Energy costs remain a major driver of consumer sentiment, as fluctuations directly affect daily life and discretionary income.

US GDP data also shows growth, with the latest reports indicating the economy is performing strongest since the third quarter of 2023. Analysts point to increased consumer spending, stabilizing energy prices, and other economic measures as contributing factors. A growing economy often translates into higher approval for the sitting president, particularly when voters perceive improvements in their personal financial situations.


Trump’s Perspective on Affordability

The White House has actively framed affordability concerns as a political issue rather than an economic failure. President Trump has repeatedly argued that “affordability” is a concept exaggerated by Democrats, claiming it was used as a political tool to criticize his administration.

Speaking earlier this week, Trump said:

“Our prices now for energy, for gasoline, are really low. Electricity is coming down. And when that comes down, everything comes down. The word affordability is a Democrat scam.”

He has continued to emphasize that reductions in energy costs and other economic measures demonstrate the administration’s ability to deliver financial relief directly to American families. While consumer prices are up 3 percent year-over-year, the administration argues that policies implemented under his leadership are providing measurable benefits.


Policies Targeting Costs for Americans

Over the past few months, the Trump administration has implemented several measures designed to lower household expenses. Among these initiatives are:

  • Rolling back Biden-era gas emission standards, aimed at reducing energy costs.
  • Launching TrumpRx, a White House portal designed to cut out third-party vendors and lower drug prices for consumers.
  • Directing pharmaceutical companies to reduce costs for key medications.
  • Passing a domestic policy package that will cut taxes on tips, overtime, and Social Security beginning next year.

These policies are presented as tangible actions intended to directly impact the cost of living for average households. By emphasizing these measures, the administration seeks to connect with voters who are most concerned about day-to-day financial pressures.


Public Response to Economic Measures

Despite these initiatives, many Americans remain wary of rising costs. Surveys indicate that inflation and the cost of living remain top concerns for households, with voters closely monitoring energy prices, grocery bills, and housing costs.

A November poll of 1,250 registered voters conducted by Daily Mail/J.L. Partners found that while economic relief measures were acknowledged, they had yet to significantly alter overall public sentiment. Many families continue to focus on the basics: affording food, gas, and a comfortable standard of living.

Brittany Martinez, executive director of the conservative political firm Principles First, told the Daily Mail:

“While the administration touts billion-dollar announcements and high-profile corporate deals, most Americans are focused on far more basic needs: whether they can afford groceries, gas, and a good life.”

Her analysis underscores the idea that public approval is strongly tied to immediate, tangible experiences rather than broader economic indicators or government announcements.


The Role of Holiday Spending

The timing of the approval boost coincides with the Thanksgiving holiday season, a period historically associated with increased consumer activity. Record-breaking Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales suggest that many Americans felt financially comfortable enough to spend on gifts and essentials, reflecting a level of consumer confidence that may temporarily support higher approval ratings for the president.

Retail trends during this period also provide insight into voter sentiment. Strong spending patterns can reinforce the perception that the economy is healthy and that the administration’s policies are effective, at least in the short term.


Gas Prices and Household Relief

Falling gasoline prices have emerged as a critical factor influencing Trump’s approval rating. Analysts note that lower gas costs provide immediate relief to households, freeing up income for other expenses. The national average dropping below $3 per gallon represents the first major decrease in four years and is likely a key driver of the two-point approval bump.

Energy costs, particularly gasoline, are closely linked to voter perceptions of economic stability. Relief in this area often translates into temporary boosts in approval ratings, particularly during high-visibility periods like the holiday season.


GDP Growth and Economic Outlook

According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. GDP growth is at its strongest since Q3 2023. Increased consumer spending, fueled by lower energy costs and strong retail activity, has helped drive overall economic momentum.

Economic growth often plays a significant role in public opinion. When voters perceive improvements in their personal financial situations, they are more likely to respond favorably to the administration, even if broader economic challenges remain.


Challenges and Limitations

Despite the positive signs, Trump’s approval boost is limited, and his disapproval rating remains 53 percent. Analysts caution that short-term improvements in sentiment may not translate into lasting political gains, particularly as voters continue to grapple with inflation, healthcare costs, and other domestic challenges.

Moreover, the framing of affordability as a political issue may resonate with the president’s base, but some voters remain skeptical. Daily expenses like groceries, housing, and energy costs weigh heavily on public perception, and temporary relief may not be sufficient to significantly shift broader opinion.


Implications for the 2026 Midterms

Political strategists suggest that the modest approval boost could have implications for the 2026 midterm elections. Economic confidence and tangible relief for households can influence voter behavior, particularly in swing districts and among undecided voters.

The administration is expected to continue emphasizing policies with immediate consumer impact, such as energy cost reductions, the TrumpRx initiative, and domestic tax relief measures. These steps are intended to maintain or further increase support among households directly affected by cost-of-living pressures.


Expert Analysis

Brittany Martinez of Principles First explained the dynamics driving the approval change:

“Americans are looking at their day-to-day lives. High-profile deals or billion-dollar announcements matter less than whether families can pay for essentials. The slight bump in approval shows how sensitive public opinion is to even modest relief on energy and consumer prices.”

Economists highlight that temporary boosts in consumer confidence often correlate with visible financial improvements, such as holiday spending surges and falling gas prices. While these factors can sway approval in the short term, long-term public sentiment depends on sustained economic performance.


Conclusion

President Trump’s approval rating has seen a modest increase as economic pressures on American families ease. Falling gas prices, strong holiday spending, and robust GDP growth have contributed to the uptick, providing the administration with a short-term boost in public perception.

However, disapproval remains high, and long-term approval will depend on whether the administration can sustain these economic gains and address the ongoing concerns of American households.

The latest Daily Mail/J.L. Partners survey highlights a central political reality: public opinion is closely tied to immediate financial experiences. Even modest relief in everyday expenses can influence voter sentiment, particularly during periods of high visibility, such as holiday spending seasons.

As the country moves into 2026, economists, political analysts, and the administration will monitor indicators like inflation, consumer spending, and energy prices to assess whether the recent approval boost can be maintained heading into the midterm elections.

 

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